Market Insights

[MARKET UPDATE] Rising Premiums for Property-Casualty Insurers

The property-casualty industry is cyclical – a function of insurers being unable to know their cost of goods sold (i.e. claims) until well after the policies were incepted. One can see in the chart below where we are in the cycle¹.

The Repo Market: Why Investors Should be Concerned

Near the end of the third quarter, the overnight funding market (commonly referred to as the “repo market”) exhibited a level of instability not seen since the financial crisis. However, many individuals don’t fully understand the implications of this disruption, nor do they have a full grasp of...

Leverage Cycles, Banks and Our Outlook for the Remainder of 2019

“After a ten-year post-financial crisis period of consistent underlying conditions for equity investing, fundamentals are shifting.”

A Discussion of the U.S. Debt Situation: Consumer and Government Debt

“The national debt is akin to student loans – while not an immediate concern, it could become a major problem.”

Consumer Debt

Last week, we discussed the state of the corporate leverage. Consumer debt is also an area of concern, but to a lesser extent than corporate debt. Domestic consumer debt is...

A Discussion of the U.S. Debt Situation: Corporate Debt

“Debt, we've learned, is the match that lights the fire of every crisis. Every crisis has its own set of villains - pick your favorite: bankers, regulators, central bankers, politicians, overzealous consumers, credit rating agencies - but all require one similar ingredient to create a true crisis:...

Statutory Data: A Trove of Valuable Bank Information

“First-level thinkers look for simple formulas and easy answers. Second-level thinkers know that success in investing is the antithesis of simple…Your thinking has to be better than that of others…you must find an edge they don’t have. You must think of something they haven’t thought of, see things...

Reflections from Working at a Large Fund Complex

Prior to joining Prospector in 2003, I worked at Neuberger Berman for seven years. I initially joined the firm as an insurance analyst, but soon began following many different types of companies, from small caps to large diversified financial services firms. I joined the Neuberger Berman Genesis...

The Many Benefits of Analyzing Non-GAAP Data, Part 3 of 3

Over the past two weeks we have explored the concept of using other types of data (non-GAAP) to enhance our analysis on publicly-traded companies. This week, we focus on Consumer Companies. 

The Many Benefits of Analyzing Non-GAAP Data, Part 2 of 3

Last week, we began to explore the concept of using other types of data (non-GAAP) to enhance our analysis on publicly-traded companies. While the focus was on insurance companies, this week we are focusing on another industry we enjoy getting under the hood of: Banks. Next week, in the third and...

The Many Benefits of Analyzing Non-GAAP Data, Part 1 of 3

As an investor, if you had access to more detailed information other than the GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles), wouldn’t you use it? GAAP data provides a uniform set of rules and formats to facilitate analysis by investors and creditors, and in this regard, it has greatly helped...