Is the Bank Rally Over?

Is the Bank Rally Over?

Last year was a rollercoaster for bank stocks. We were fortunate to be underweight the sector relative to our history heading into the pandemic. By March 2020, the regional bank index declined over 50% from the start of the year as the pandemic instilled fears of a major recession and credit losses...

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An Abundance of Speculation: 2021’s Rise of Risk Assets

An Abundance of Speculation: 2021’s Rise of Risk Assets

Last week* we reflected on the trillions of dollars of government stimulus and monetary support that has left the United States awash in cash.

The result of all of this has undoubtedly aided the rise in risk assets during the first few months of 2021, and has led to some speculative market...

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Reflecting on an eventful start to 2021 and thinking about what may be around the bend.

Reflections on Value’s Outperformance and Our Outlook Going Forward

After the new $1.9 trillion stimulus package was passed along party lines early in the year, the multi-trillions of dollars of government stimulus and additional trillions of monetary support by the Fed left the United States awash in cash. As can be seen in the chart below, the U.S. money supply...

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Upside Participation, Downside Risk Mitigation

Upside Participation, Downside Risk Mitigation

The volatility of 2020 is still fresh in people’s minds.

On March 12th, 2020, the S&P 500 had it largest single-day percentage drop since the 1987 stock market crash, falling 9.5% in a single trading session.

This infamous record was short lived, as four days later on March 16th, the S&P 500 fell...

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Questions We Ask Before We Invest

Questions We Ask Before We Invest

Successful investing doesn’t have to mimic rocket science. Warren Buffet breaks it down well in his first two rules of investing:

Rule #1 – Don’t lose money; Rule #2- Don’t forget Rule #1!

We adhere to this principle, and our entire investment process revolves around the idea of limiting downside...

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Tips on How to Approach Value Investing

Tips on How to Approach Value Investing

Prospector approaches value investing from a credit perspective, with an emphasis on value-based principles and bottom-up fundamental analysis.

Our in-house, deep dive research is key to our approach, focusing on regulatory and statutory statements when available, in addition to GAAP.

We look at...

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Industry Spotlight: Property-Casualty Insurance for Commercial Lines

Industry Spotlight: Property-Casualty Insurance for Commercial Lines

Businesses purchase insurance for vehicles, property, liability, and employees, among others. Workers’ compensation insurance is mandated by law, but most other coverages are purchased regardless. Actuarial data on historical loss trends is prevalent, but less reliable for extrapolation, for the...

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Value Stocks as a Fixed Income Replacement

Value Stocks as a Fixed Income Replacement

The yield component of value stocks can play a valuable role in client portfolios given the lack of yield currently available from traditional fixed income asset classes as well as the interest rate (duration) risk associated with those types of securities.

The yield component is also an advantage...

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Growth Versus Value: Historic Patterns of Cyclicality

Growth Versus Value: Historic Patterns of Cyclicality

After a decade where the dramatic outperformance of growth stocks left many value investors scratching their heads, the recent rise in interest rates has poured cold water on high-flying tech stocks and helped swing the pendulum back to value stocks. In particular, the financial sector, which...

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Potential Market Implications of the “Blue Ripple”

Potential Market Implications of the “Blue Ripple”

The following blog is an excerpt from our Q4 client letter that was written in late January 2021. We believe the information around industrial production, inflation and bond yields remains as relevant as ever and we hope you find this piece helpful.

Growth stocks dominated over their value brethren...

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The views described herein do not constitute investment advice, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Investors should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. Please review the offering memorandum or prospectus of a Fund for a complete discussion of the Fund’s risks which include, but are not limited to: possible loss of principal amount invested; stock market risk; value risk; interest rate risk; income risk; credit risk; foreign securities risk; currency risk and derivatives risk.

Nothing contained herein constitutes investment, legal, tax, or other advice nor should be relied upon in making an investment or other decision. Any projections, outlooks or estimates contained herein are forward looking statements based upon specific assumptions and should not be construed as indicative of any actual events that have occurred or may occur. 

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